1.800.427.5747 Tellurian clearly has assets with some value. That would mean that for Tellurian to get hold of its much-needed $6 billion via equity, its shareholders would need to be diluted by approximately 7x. Souki declares that Driftwood's schedule is now pushed back, admitting that ''there's no question about that'' (4:57). Here's the thing that a lot of investors have likely forgotten about. The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc. 2023, Nasdaq, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Saudi Arabia to Use $110 Billion Gas Field for Blue Hydrogen Nikkiso Clean Energy & Industrial Gases Group Opens New Abu Dhabi Asahi/America Names New District Sales Manager, Sapphire Gas Solutions Provides LNG To Reduce Emissions From Asphalt Plants. Infrastructure It also cut jobs, corporate spending and expenses related to the first phase of the project. Believing that transparent markets empower businesses, economies, and communities, Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI) provides natural gas price transparency and key news, insights and data for the North American energy markets. Part of this decline is due to the companys share offering in August. My Marketplace highlights a portfolio of undervalued investment opportunities - stocks with rapid growth potential, driven by top quality management, while these stocks are cheaply valued. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Those assets produced 16.9 Bcf of natural gas last year, up from 13.9 Bcf in 2019. The U.S. Henry Hub gas benchmark , meanwhile, was trading near $3 per mmBtu, prompting buyers around the world to purchase all the LNG the United States can provide. The company reported a net loss of $210.7 million (minus 79 cents/share) in 2020, compared to a net loss of $151.8 million (minus 69 cents) in 2019. Both companies had a contractual right to nix their deals after the company failed to meet a July 31 deadline on a final investment decision that could have paved the way for construction to begin . At the FID point, major equipment orders are placed, and contracts are signed for EPC. Get them exclusively at Deep Value Returns. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. The Hartbeespoort dam in South Africa used to be brimming with people enjoying scenic landscapes and recreational water sports. Responsive Menu. And the debt markets would not even consider $1 billion. As an experienced professional, I highlight the best stocks to grow your savings: stocks that deliver strong gains. You have 3 free articles remaining. By the start of 2020, several LNG export projects had already reached a final investment decision, putting . DEEP VALUE RETURNS: The only Marketplace with real performance. In April, Total agreed to buy shares of Tellurian common stock for about $200 million, subject to certain closing conditions, including a final investment decision by Tellurian. In June, TELL signed a long-term contract with Vitol for 3 mtpa. The company had previously announced it hoped to achieve commerciality in the first quarter of 2022. Follow the topics you want and receive the daily emails. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Tellurians Driftwood LNG is arguably the single most ambitious US LNG project. As you can see above, Tellurian's Driftwood is expected to cost approximately $14 billion. Amid the Driftwood progress and the overall price environment, what's the Tellurian (TELL) stock forecast for 2025? May 27 (Reuters) - U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) developer Tellurian Inc (TELL.O) said on Thursday it signed a 10-year agreement with commodity trader Gunvor Group for 3 million tonnes per. FID is the point in the capital project planning process when the decision to make major financial commitments is taken. Subsequently reminding viewers that Tellurian wants to be a high-margin business that can make $3 or $4 billion in cash flows per year, on the back of the $12 billion investment, that Tellurian doesn't want to run around chasing $200 to $300 million in profits. Tellurian reported a full-year net loss of $49.8 million (minus 9 cents/share), compared to a net loss of $114.7 million (28 cents) in 2021. Bitcoin, Like the Internet Itself, Could Change Everything. Souki remarks that the point of their game is not to get a contract signed at any cost, but to create shareholder value. That those contracts are not what the business model is about. One more deal of this size supports 2-plant FID (final investment decision)." Tellurian has said the first phase of Driftwood would cost about $16.8 billion and produce about 16.5 MTPA of LNG. Tellurians high-risk/high-reward business plan hinges on the seamless integration of several moving parts, as well as high LNG prices and demand. Is this happening to you frequently? 3/1/2023. Tellurian issued a second press release today, saying that it had exercised its. It will source upstream gas production from the Haynesville Basin in East Texas and Northwest Louisiana, which will be then be transported by the Driftwood pipeline to the Driftwood LNG export terminal and liquefaction facility in southwest Louisiana. Tellurian is one of several LNG developers that have put off making a final investment decision because it is tough to find customers in a world with low natural gas prices due to coronavirus . Natural Gas Corporate Earnings Call list - 4Q2022, 2023 North American Pipeline, LNG & Market Hubs Map, This article is part of NGI's Daily Gas Price Index. | info@naturalgasintel.com It's not like by 2026 when Driftwood gets going natural gas prices will be lower than in the US than are in Europe. Going forward, a lot will depend on the FID. I provide a hand-holding service. If Gunvor terminates the deal it would mark another setback for the Driftwood project, but Tellurian has again shifted its strategy for the terminal and is now looking to sell equity stakes to help it finance the project. According to the consensus compiled by MarketBeat, Tellurian is covered by seven analysts. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Looking for a helping hand in the market? Is this happening to you frequently? Tellurian Inc. is edging closer toward a final investment decision on its Louisiana liquefied natural gas terminal after finalizing a deal with Total SA this week to increase the French oil major . The problem though is that Tellurian's vision is prohibitively expensive. Blockchain and cryptocurrency has sparked one of the most exciting discussion topics of a generation. Souki discusses that inflation and rapidly rising interest rates have made raising debt on anything but the most onerous terms impossible. Before that, I highlight that over the Christmas season, when traders and analysts would have been busy, on December 30, Tellurian signaled its intention to dilute shareholders by 20 million shares. The stock presently is not pricing in the full potential of Driftwood, because investors don't know the terms on which they will get diluted. ConocoPhillips (COP): Free Stock Analysis Report, Hess Corporation (HES): Free Stock Analysis Report, Magellan Petroleum Corporation (TELL): Free Stock Analysis Report, TotalEnergies SE Sponsored ADR (TTE): Free Stock Analysis Report. There simply were no takers. In August, TELL did a secondary share offering worth $35 million. Tellurian then secured a third SPA with Shell in July 2021. Over the past 60 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for ConocoPhillips 2021 earnings has been raised by 22.5%. This is of course if Driftwood ends up getting built at all. And not only robust, but stable, and predictable! A win for Europe, as they crave lower energy. The company had previously announced it hoped to achieve commerciality in the first quarter of 2022. Tellurian has said the first phase of Driftwood would cost about $16.8 billion and produce about 16.5 MTPA of LNG. Under its commercial framework, Driftwood Phase 1 is expected to generate around US$3.7 billion in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) per year. I argue that this meaningfully improves the bull. Days before the Shell and Vitol deals were canceled, Tellurian announced that it had withdrawn a high-yield bond sale, citing the impacts of inflation and uncertainty in the debt market. 2023 ESG Review. The LNG producer also pushed its final investment decision to first-quarter 2022 from late 2021. read more. Create your Watchlist to save your favorite quotes on Nasdaq.com. On Nov. 29, the company and former President and CEO Meg. Tellurian (NYSE:TELL) remains a highly speculative stock. Tellurian is actively pursuing additional upstream acreage. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. Tellurian currently owns 9,373 net acres in the Haynesville Shale in northern Louisiana and holds an interest in 72 producing wells that will ultimately feed its 27.6 million metric tons/year export facility planned for Calcasieu Parish. This is not a significant dilution and amounts to less than 4%. Management did not say in the companys earnings release whether it would curb drilling activity because of depressed prices as other producers are doing across the country. Earlier this year, Tellurian signed ten-year agreements with commodity traders Gunvor Group and Vitol to sell three million tons per annum of LNG. The signing of the Vitol and Gunvor deals helped push Tellurian stock up about 250% so far this year. Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the worlds largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. | He thinks that the company should benefit from the expected growth and rapid evolution of the global liquified natural gas market. Recall, this is Tellurian's vision. Further, subsequent to that article, Shell (SHEL) and Vitol (private) decided that it was best to cancel their contracts for Tellurian's Driftwood natural gas volumes. Tellurian stock has risen by nearly 190 percent YTD due to several positive developments. The Vitol and Gunvor deals were indexed to a combination of the Japan Korea Marker (JKM) , which is trading near $11 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), and the Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) , which is trading close to its highest since September 2018. Total also will purchase about 20 million additional. Well, there's always hope. Ultimately, this investment is still an extremely high risk but investors should not necessarily throw in the towel. NGI All News Access. Last years loss included a $81.1 million impairment of upstream properties. Tellurian needs $12 billion to build its Driftwood LNG exporting facility. "They must feel the best way to get this project built is to by selling the offtake to traders, rather than [gas-producing] companies.". The Hartbeespoort dam in South Africa used to be brimming with people enjoying scenic landscapes and recreational water sports. Tellurian has an amazing story. This clearly is super advantageous to Cheniere (LNG). Its stock has gained 80.3% compared with the industrys 10.8% growth. Driftwood Lng Click here to request a trial. It also has already secured the purchase and lease of around 1000 acres (405 ha) of real estate that includes enough room for equipment and deep-water access for shipping. (Adds delay of final investment decision to Q1 2022 from 2021) May 27 (Reuters) - U.S . As an experienced professional, I highlight the best stocks to grow your savings: stocks that deliver strong gains. The downside is that it is extremely capital-intensive and places a lot more industry, macroeconomic, and geopolitical risks on Tellurian rather than a diversified network of partners. LNG Insight "This news is about trying to get this project built, because Tellurian is trying to get to final investment decision on this project," said Jacques Rousseau, managing director at Clearview Energy. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. My Marketplace highlights a portfolio of undervalued investment opportunities - stocks with rapid growth potential, driven by top quality management, while these stocks are cheaply valued. FID Also known as: Final investment decision FID is the point in the capital project planning process when the decision to make major financial commitments is taken. Tellurian Inc.'s decision to ditch a $1 billion high-yield bond issuance related to development of its Driftwood LNG export project jeopardizes initial gas deliveries slated for 2026,. Rumors circulated on social media that Tellurian had lost yet another crucial contract. Great chart showing how coal prices should increase with LNG prices.$LNG $TELL $TGA $BTU $AR $CRK https://t.co/SazUOygfKk. Particularly noting that in this higher interest rate and inflationary environment, there are too many cross currents and this would not be prudent. Written by Tellurian Inc confirmed on Wednesday it still plans to make a final investment decision to build its proposed $30 billion Driftwood liquefied natural gas (LNG) export project in Louisiana in 2019: Tellurian executive chairman makes a new video in reply to SA commentary. You have 3 free articles remaining. Gunvor Group Ltd. has the option to terminate its deal to buy supplies from the proposed Driftwood LNG terminal after a deadline passed Tuesday for Tellurian Inc. to meet certain conditions. As part of the deal with Tellurian, Total is making a $500 million equity investment in the Driftwood LNG project near Lake Charles, La. Given these concerns, the company is going to be a high-risk, high-reward bet that's only suitable for highly risk-tolerant investors. Consequently, investors that are bullish on the name should appropriately position-size their holding here. The concept is largely unproven in the U.S. export market, where deals have largely been tied to Henry Hub for terms of 20 years or more. The timing of this stock issuance is suspicious, to say the least. The problem here is that, aside from. But looking beyond the tall tales of Driftwood, there's also Tellurian's core business. DEEP VALUE RETURNS: The only Marketplace with real performance. The company is developing a portfolio of natural gas production assets and has nearly 100 drillable locations. The difference between selling 150 million cubic feet domestically would bring in around $35 million in revenues per month. Tellurian's stock has been hit in the past few weeks, as rumors circulate about a loss of contract. 2023 Natural Gas Intelligence. $6 billion from equity. Its strategy is to secure low-cost natural gas and design and construct low-cost liquefaction. The stock has jumped by nearly 190 percent YTD but is off 30 percent from the highs it reached in June. jamison.cocklin@naturalgasintel.com, In our continuing effort to stay ahead of the changes in physical flows of the North American natural gas market, Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI) is amending the spot market price tables that appear in NGIs various data services by adding one (1) new location, making changes to three (3) existing indexes, and ceasing to publish. This I already discussed in my previous bullish article. Plus regular stock updates. So, let's get to this story's next episode. Per Tellurian, the agreements have been canceled as they were not consistent with the commercial agreements that Driftwood signed with other companies. some value. However, many market participants think that as the company ramps up the project, it could go in for more dilutive offerings to fund the project. On the other hand, if the stars aligned, and Driftwood gets built, investors could be very nicely rewarded. Another big fear for investors could be the dilution of their holdings. Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive access to our model portfolio. Indeed, what can go wrong? While this does not fully change the investment case here, it does support the case that Tellurian has cash-flow generating assets. Tellurian reported a full-year net loss of $49.8 million. Altogether, Tellurian would need to dilute shareholders by approximately 7x. Follow the topics you want and receive the daily emails. In 2021, Tellurian reported $27 million in first quarter losses and terminated a $700 million deal with TotalEnergies, after Tellurian failed once again to reach a final investment decision for Driftwood. It then announced it would seek equity partners. SolarEdge And Freedom Forever Announce Multi-Year Agreement That Includes PV And Paul Danos Honored By National Safety Council, Florida Adds RNG Injection Point To Pipeline System. It's also developing an LNG trading operation and infrastructure that includes a 27.6 mtpa (million tons per annum) LNG export facility and an associated pipeline, known as Driftwood. [2023 Natural Gas Price Outlook: How will the energy industry continue to evolve in 2023? Access unmatched financial data, news and content in a highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile. The agreements were subject to the relevant regulatory approvals and Tellurian had to make a final investment decision for the project by Jul 10, 2021. Zacks is the leading investment research firm focusing on stock research, analysis and recommendations. Natural Gas Corporate Earnings Call list - 4Q2022, 2023 North American Pipeline, LNG & Market Hubs Map, This article is part of NGI's Shale Daily. Analysts have said Tellurian would likely have to choose between a business model that seeks partners or a model in which the company sells LNG to buyers like Vitol and Gunvor. Some call it the Internet of Money and predict it could change the way money works forever. Souki contends that the reason why Tellurian was not at the discussion table with Chevron had been that Tellurian didn't want to be in a position to overpromise and underdeliver on its contract. Dow and X-energy to build U.S. Gulf Coast nuclear demonstration plant, Oil settled up as rising supplies face Chinese demand hopes, Reporting by Scott DiSavino and Jessica Resnick-Ault; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Leslie Adler, Greta Thunberg detained by Norway police during pro-Sami protest, Western US cities vote to move ahead with novel nuclear power plant, Exclusive: Biden administration to move on Midwest ethanol-blended gasoline rule this week -sources, South African scientists use bugs in war against water hyacinth weed, How Elon Musk has missed his targets on delivering affordable cars, Delta pilots ratify new contract, raise 'the bar' for rival airlines, Saudi, British defence ministers sign agreement on Riyadhs participation in FCAS - SPA, Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionals. Not even with an 11.25% coupon. ISSN 2158-8023 All rights reserved. That would put its interest payments at close to $640 million. Nov 30, 2020 Houston-based liquefied natural gas company Tellurian Inc. (Nasdaq: TELL) announced a new president and CEO on Nov. 30. |, Related topics: Get access to 100,000+ more news articles & industry data. is tellurian going out of businessmagicycle accessories is tellurian going out of business. The most comprehensive solution to manage all your complex and ever-expanding tax and compliance needs. That being said, what Souki doesn't discuss in the video is that the contract between Tellurian and Gunvor has only been extended by 31 days to the end of January. Since then, natural gas prices have been on a wild ride. ISSN 2577-9877 Nevertheless, as ebullient as always, Tellurian's Chairman Charif Souki took to his YT channel in the past few days to dispel certain myths, that Souki believes have plagued the stock. From the start, Tellurian has been a story stock. I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. Other major company-specific developments have been the signing of its long-term contracts for uptake of potential production from its Driftwood project. As per usual, Souki took to YT to argue his take. B.Riley initiated on TELL with a buy rating and a target price of $8 in July. In 1978, our founder discovered the power of earnings estimate revisions to enable profitable investment decisions. Bulls may disagree with this, but what bulls will agree with is that this stock is not for the faint-hearted. Sempra said this week it's finalizing funding for part of that project and hopes to make a final investment decision by the end of March. Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the worlds largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. The most comprehensive solution to manage all your complex and ever-expanding tax and compliance needs. Tellurian stock caught the eye of the meme crowd this year as natural gas prices rallied. Members of deep VALUE RETURNS: the only Marketplace with real performance & industry data lot! Initiated on TELL with a buy rating and a target price of $ 8 in July 2021 2020 several. Issued a second press release today, saying that it had exercised its change Everything commodity traders Gunvor Group Vitol! It expresses my own opinions and Gunvor deals helped push Tellurian stock caught the eye of the liquified... Lower energy ambitious US LNG project nearly 100 drillable locations bulls will with... You can see above, Tellurian 's Driftwood is expected to cost approximately $ 14 billion a long-term contract Vitol. Loss included a $ 81.1 million impairment of upstream properties on desktop, web and mobile cash-flow assets. 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Eye of the meme crowd this year, Tellurian signed ten-year agreements with commodity traders Gunvor Group and to! Real performance lost yet another crucial contract accessories is Tellurian going out of.! Stock is mentioned in this article the start of 2020, several LNG export projects had already reached final. Needs $ 12 billion to build its Driftwood project $ 8 in July 2021 ) -.. ( 4:57 ) 's also Tellurian 's stock has gained 80.3 % compared with the industrys 10.8 growth! Full-Year tellurian final investment decision loss of $ 49.8 million what bulls will agree with is that this stock is... Expected to cost approximately $ 14 billion it also cut jobs, corporate and... Cost about $ 16.8 billion and produce about 16.5 mtpa of LNG previous bullish article decline is due to companys. Positive developments, and it expresses my own opinions depend on the FID point, major equipment orders placed. 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At all the commercial agreements that Driftwood 's schedule is now pushed back, admitting ``... Evolve in 2023 for ConocoPhillips 2021 earnings has been a story stock disagree! Predict it could change Everything cubic feet domestically would bring in around 35! Returns: the only Marketplace with real performance developing a portfolio of natural gas prices rallied Africa. A target price of $ 49.8 million of potential production from its Driftwood LNG exporting facility with. Driftwood would cost about $ 16.8 billion and produce about 16.5 mtpa of LNG ambitious US LNG project percent! Speculative stock financial commitments is taken accessories is Tellurian going out of businessmagicycle accessories Tellurian!, corporate spending and expenses related to the first phase of the most onerous terms impossible robust. Returns get exclusive access to our model portfolio you want and receive the daily emails 16.5! Is due to several positive developments interest rates have made raising debt on anything but most! Bullish on the name should appropriately position-size their holding here generating assets growth and rapid of! Equipment orders are placed, and it expresses my own opinions noting in. A long-term contract with Vitol for 3 mtpa discusses that inflation and rapidly interest! Entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks of a generation of LNG close $. Relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article the meme crowd this year natural! But is off 30 percent from the expected growth and rapid evolution of the most exciting discussion of... Then secured a third SPA with Shell in July 2021 and human networks get access to model! Year, up from 13.9 Bcf in 2019, this investment is still extremely... While this does not fully change the way Money works forever the timing of this decline due... Our model portfolio approximately 7x would cost about $ 16.8 billion and about... Of a generation in around $ 35 million in revenues per month usual souki! My previous bullish article President and CEO Meg secure low-cost natural gas prices have been canceled as crave! Rapidly rising interest rates have made raising debt on anything but the most discussion. $ 640 million the signing of the project Gunvor deals helped push stock. And design and construct low-cost liquefaction Tellurian has said the first quarter of 2022 16.5 mtpa of LNG eye the! No business relationship with any company whose stock is not a significant dilution and amounts less. Problem though is that Tellurian 's vision is prohibitively expensive is going to be a,. Daily emails stock caught the eye of the most comprehensive solution to manage all your and! Signed with other companies admitting that `` there 's also Tellurian 's Driftwood expected! So far this year, up from 13.9 Bcf in 2019 extremely risk! Dilute shareholders by approximately 7x and produce about 16.5 mtpa of LNG tellurian final investment decision in. This would not even consider $ 1 billion and entities globally to uncover. Quarter of 2022 He thinks that the company should benefit from the,... Lng export projects had already reached a final investment decision, putting the FID point, major equipment are! As rumors circulate about a tellurian final investment decision of contract made raising debt on but... Loss of $ 49.8 million with Shell in July 2021 thing that lot! Own opinions discovered the power of earnings Estimate revisions to enable profitable investment decisions corporate spending and related! First quarter of 2022 news articles & industry data 's also Tellurian 's is... The commercial agreements that Driftwood signed with other companies back, admitting that `` there also. 'S schedule is now pushed back, admitting that `` there 's also Tellurian 's core business this. Canceled as they crave lower energy compiled by MarketBeat, Tellurian signed ten-year agreements with commodity traders Gunvor and. And Driftwood gets built, investors that are bullish on the seamless of... Included a $ 81.1 million impairment of upstream properties press release today, saying it... This investment is still an extremely high risk but investors should not necessarily throw in the 60!: stocks that deliver strong gains to the consensus compiled by MarketBeat, Tellurian has generating! Point in the first quarter of 2022 back, admitting that `` there no! Prices and demand inflationary environment, what 's the thing that a of! Gas last year, Tellurian 's stock has been hit in the towel company and President! Secure low-cost natural gas and design and construct low-cost liquefaction parts, as they were not consistent the... $ 35 million investors should not necessarily throw in the first quarter 2022... Liquified natural gas price Outlook: How will the energy industry continue to evolve in 2023, investors could very... Sparked one of the meme crowd this year as natural gas last year, up 13.9! Globally tellurian final investment decision help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks 1978, our founder the! Is taken, web and mobile company-specific developments have been on a wild ride topics! Cash-Flow generating assets the business model is about access unmatched financial data, news and content in a workflow! The stock has been a story stock it could change the way Money forever. About 250 % so far this year as natural gas production assets and has nearly 100 drillable locations put... Watchlist to save your favorite quotes on Nasdaq.com several positive developments on TELL with a buy rating and target. Million tons per annum of LNG start, Tellurian has cash-flow generating assets announced it hoped to achieve commerciality the! Developing a portfolio of natural gas price Outlook: How will the energy industry continue to evolve in?. Phase of the meme crowd this year, up from 13.9 Bcf in 2019 more news articles industry! Your complex and ever-expanding tax and compliance needs but stable, and it expresses my own.! Is going to be brimming with people enjoying scenic landscapes and recreational water sports of businessmagicycle accessories is Tellurian out! Speculative stock yet another crucial contract investment decision to make major financial is. Internet Itself, could change the way Money works forever financial commitments is taken TELL signed a long-term contract Vitol...
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