The focus on school board races, he said, is a logical outgrowth of that strategy.. So what does this suggest for 2023 turnout? I made this point till I was sick of having to make it back in 2018 and again in 2020. Counting these as Houston precincts means you wind up with a lot more total votes in Houston than were cast in the referenda elections, and gives you a distorted picture of the candidate percentages. Federal courts | The partys Parent Revolt program is its most ambitious school board candidate recruitment and training program ever. Neither he nor Ted Heap seems to have gotten any better at math or more truthful in general, so most likely this will play out in similar fashion. Let me know what you think. I dont know what else to say. U.S. President | CD36 70,392 41,817 24 Candidate: Mike Thompson* Party Registration: Democrat Age: 71 Occupation: Congressman and small-vineyard owner Campaign website: www.mikethompsonforcongress.com Candidate: Matt Brock Party Registration: Republican Age: 34 Occupation: Operations and maintenance supervisor for Contra Costa . HD146 21.45% 76.29% 2.26% Removing a candidate from the ballot before voters get a chance to cast a vote is obviously a lot easier than just defeating your opponent at the ballot box, he said. 9 Cause No. Therefore, even if the public does adopt the charter amendments, the charter amendments as written will not be enforceable, he said. Since attorneys earned a flat fee per case, the only way to make a living representing indigent clients was to take massive numbers of appointments. CD36 62.72% 37.26% 0.02% A spokesperson for Michelle Fraga denied the allegations. HD131 6,091 25,170 float: right; In the 281st civil district court, sitting Democrat Judge Christine Weems claims her Republican challenger Michelle Fraga filed a ballot application with dozens of invalid signatures, leaving her short of the 250 legitimate signatures required to run for office. Under Hegars calculations, Heaps annualized budget would have been about $48.9 million over 12 months nearly $2.3 million more than the $46.7 million figure calculated by the county. Similar to its California Trailblazers program, which focuses on running for legislative seats, participants received a binder of information that includes not just deadlines and required forms, but also vendor options, website design tools and tips on how to make the most of campaign funds. JP5 47.07% 50.22% 2.71% Hidalgo versus Mealer There needs to be a citywide referendum of the ballot in order to get at this data. DOWNLOAD: HARRIS COUNTY GOP VOTER GUIDE. HD148 15,938 19,168 1,217 514 Beto versus the spread If anyone on the Republican side thought that the other Democratic judges might become collateral damage, theres no evidence to support that. HD132 37,180 23,721 7 2015 979,401 2,054,717 47.67% Unfortunately, more than 20 other election contests are still pending in Harris Countymost of those races had greater vote margins than Mays. .votebox-covid-disclaimer { flex: 0 0 150px; HD142 8,957 24,548 997 In response to each of the requests for public information, the elections office responded by seeking an opinion from the Texas Attorney Generals office allowing it to withhold the information due to ongoing litigation, the lawsuit states. But Rusty Hicks, chairperson of the California Democratic Party, said he sees some within the Republican Party using this really challenging moment in our history to further divide the state for political gain. I did not get around to doing the 30-day and 8-day reports from 2022, so what you see here in these reports is not contiguous for those who were on last Novembers ballot. UPDATE: As soon as I had hit Save on this draft, I see via Stace that attorney and former HD132 candidate Silvia Mintz has announced her candidacy. I think Odus did a good job as HCDP Chair. I think that thats still going to be a conversation with City Council.. The GOPs lack of attention on the superintendent race is a reflection of the partys record statewide and the daunting odds of unseating a Democratic-backed incumbent, given the 2 to 1 Democratic advantage in voter registration.Instead, Republicans have become a party that focuses on presidential politics and local campaigns, said Dan Schnur, a politics professor at UC Berkeley, USC and Pepperdine. SD07 62.80% 37.18% 0.02% HD143 34.02% 63.56% 2.42% HD145 32.67% 67.33% .votebox_legend { JP5 146,733 136,478 6,730 HD137 38.33% 59.01% 2.65% 0.01% Its not that hard.. Organizers have gathered more than 26,000 signatures so far for a petition that would give San Antonio voters in May the opportunity to decriminalize marijuana possession, end enforcement of abortion laws, establish a city justice director position, ban police from using no-knock warrants and chokeholds and expand the citys cite-and-release policy for low-level, nonviolent crimes. Cannabis reform advocates are pushing back against the city council of the Central Texas city of Harker Heights, which recently rejected a voter-approved ballot measure decriminalizing low levels of pot possession there. The Houston-area Senators who will be on the ballot in 2024 are Carol Alvarado (SD06), Paul Bettencourt (SD07), John Whitmire (SD15), and Joan Huffman (SD17). The 1st amendment provides Congress will make no law prohibiting free exercise of religion. HD143 8,824 14,858 SD18 51.69% 48.30% 0.01% Sameea covers the state Capitol and California politics for CalMatters and is also a production assistant. As happened last fall, Hegar and County Administrator David Berry have used different methods to project out Heaps seven-month budget to a full year. The two glaring exceptions to this are HDs 133 and 134, both wealthy, well-educated, predominantly white districts that, in keeping with recent trends, are a lot more Democratic than they used to be. Its too early to draw any firm conclusions one way or another, Loya said. $('#candidate-connection-twitter-102220').on('click', () => { ga('send', 'event', 'surveycta', 'surveycta-click-twitter'); }); Lets make this happen. CC4 119,394 121,960 51 Who We Are. width: 100%; As of today, the office has not received an opinion on how to proceed with these particular public information requests. CC1 65,204 204,223 7,257 Were ready, City Clerk Debbie Racca-Sittre said inside City Hall as she and a colleague sealed and time stamped four boxes filled with more than 5,000 pages of petition signatures. SD18 18,199 17,006 4 Hidalgo 612,111 1,095,479 101,400 36,568 Harris County is the big problem, said state Sen. Paul Bettencourt, a Houston Republican who plans to file close to a dozen election bills this legislative session. JP5 145,487 137,664 5,652 10 } HD127 40,530 24,529 As for Whitmire, what this means is that if hes elected Mayor this year, things will be messy in SD15 the next year. JP7 15.59% 81.84% 2.57% 0.00% -. One person could face five elections total in 2024, if the primary and the special both go to runoffs; this would happen for someone who wins the primary in a runoff and makes it to the runoff (win or lose) in the special. Rosen 717,202 84,691 0 1,322,398 The election contests will be heard by Judge David Peeples of Bexar County. HD128 32,350 12,795 1,014 Cuellar emerged largely unscathed soundly winning his November reelection for a 10th term in office. JP2 42.67% 57.33% Because scorecards have varying purposes and methodologies, each report should be considered on its own merits. The other difference is that the surplus in Harris and Fort Bend far exceeded the deficit from the eight bad counties, and all ten candidates won. HD144 46.53% 53.47% Texas House leadership on Wednesday shut down a long-building push to ban Democratic committee chairs, deploying procedural legislative maneuvers to defeat multiple proposals on the issue. 2. $('.hideResponses').hide(); . The bigger issue here remains the fact that state and federal law are much stricter about marijuana than the public wants them to be. .non_result_row { CC1 23.64% 73.61% 2.75% Turns out there was: You may have noticed that the ballot is arranged in a particular order. There were no incumbents in this race. CC2 49.65% 50.32% 0.02% The Trib, whose story published after I drafted this and which mostly recapitulates what Ive got here, has more. HD141 17.99% 78.82% 3.20% Stones letterdisagreed, and asked the Texas Supreme Court to take swift action against the proposal in its entirety. Caroline Harris completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey in 2022. TPR has more. HD128 71.67% 28.33% None of us got 70% of the votes. HD147 10,255 35,167 Now you can just go somewhere else. Additional local ballot measures may also be included. Dudding 294,958 255,993 59.69% 43.03% Republican primary election. You have to have evidence, you cant go on speculation, the signatures are valid.. Judge Finch is represented by Anthony Drumheller. As Ive said, Harris County is more Democratic now. Its been a year since his home was raided. CD22 62.20% 37.79% 0.01% HD132 59.59% 38.35% 2.06% Brandon Moseley. PREVIOUSLY HD143 35.46% 64.54% And more money will be hard to come by after the county adopted a lower-than-planned tax rate last year following a bitter political fight. CC4 48.90% 51.10% Paxton 170,642 309,499 34.36% 51.80% If we want to see things change, and we want to be safe, we have to advocate for our own safety.. CC4 47.29% 50.67% 2.04% 0.00% Nothing else of great interest in this group Id expect both Ed Gonzalez and Christian Menefee to start posting bigger numbers soon. We know theres a lot of disinformation and propaganda aimed at non-English speaking communities weve seen the websites and Facebook posts, and weve seen the mailers and heard the radio ads. Mark Goldberg is represented by Elizabeth Alvarez. 2023-01052; Sartaj Bal v. Judge Toria Finch. But Democrats didnt do as well in a number of dark blue districts in 2020 as they had in 2016 and 2018, and as we saw in 2022 it was in those districts where Beto fell short, often well short, of his 2018 performance. HD146 8,914 32,076 990 0 HD146 22.26% 77.74% Schaffer and attorney Shawn Johnson said the problems reach the level of fraud, pointing to a page of voter signatures on the Fraga ballot application that is identical to one filed by another Republican candidate for judge, in a different race, on a different date. JP1 36.68% 63.32% JP6 21.59% 74.55% 3.87% Apply today! HD129 58.99% 38.59% 2.41% HD128 32,499 12,847 As always, please let me know what you think. JP3 34,843 42,072 1,833 Many of them target Harris County, which Republicans have spent the past two years chastising for back-to-back elections blunders. HD137 38.54% 61.46% JP7 12,496 64,441 HD141 17.82% 77.79% 3.09% 1.31% JP7 12,325 64,437 1,904 Biography And three, theres no evidence to support the hypothesis that I have seen too many times that ballot fatigue disproportionately hurts Democratic candidates. color: #fff; HD149 11,923 19,315 824 Im sure lots of new judges think they can do a better job of managing that, but history is against them. display: inline-block; Rory Olsen is represented by Jared Woodfill. Thats a lot! HD144 46.97% 53.03% Be that as it may, however one may choose to interpret the lack of news about this situation, I feel compelled to note that the FBI has been investigating Ken Paxton since November of 2020, and served subpoeanas to his office in December that year. The Current has more. We should find ways to collaborate and cooperate to help our candidates in these races. GEORGE P. BUSH. --progress-bar: #f0a236; The other thing, and this may be my favorite bit of data from this election, is that there were about 800 more votes in the Treasurer race than there were in the County Clerk race, which was immediately before the Treasurers race on the ballot. Weve just had multiple winning candidates get sued by their losing opponents, and many of them were left scrambling to pay for lawyers to defend themselves in court. HD129 38,169 25,015 1,149 3 HD129 38,545 24,668 Not a surprise, but an aggressive position to take. }, .leg-hnt-container { HD135 17,156 22,790 HD138 32,580 23,012 1,269 A political party . Carla Wyatt, the Treasurer-elect, won more than 60% of those 800+ extra votes. 6 Cause No. Public servants have moved on. I Am Not A Lawyer, but I dont know offhand of any successful recent efforts to split up a ballot proposition like this. HD132 59.56% 40.44% That range is consistent across years, across baseline Democratic performance levels, across different types of judicial races. June 16, 2022. JP8 59.30% 37.90% 2.80%, Dist Paxton Garza Lib event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; How to run for office | Thats a departure from the last midterm election in 2018, when it was one of the states most hotly contested races. JP5 137,161 147,432 7,185 Those violations include issues such as warrants, criminal trespass or public intoxication. I think we need to fully implement it and if the state slaps our hands back, we know where we are, McGee said. JP5 52.11% 47.89% Why shouldnt that continue in the first open-seat Mayoral race since then? HD132 60.80% 39.20% HD148 45.64% 54.36% } }) HD150 34,884 21,411 1,016 3 Harris County Republican Party | 8588 Katy Freeway, Suite 445 Houston, TX 77024 | (713) 838-7900 . HD145 33.87% 66.10% 0.02% And if we do assume that statement to be a fact, then it is still the case that every single one of those Republican losers are still losers, with most of them still losing by more than a full percentage point, which is well above the standard for recounts that the loser doesnt have to pay for. Two other candidates who screened with us, appraiser Hector Bolanos and construction marketing manger Robert Dorris seemed passionate about addressing crime and overall quality of life in. 2023-00841; Tami Pierce v. Judge DaSean Jones. max-width: 600px; JP4 57.86% 40.32% 1.81% 0.00% JP2 23,249 29,149 10 The Republican Party would not disclose its goals for recruited candidates, other than as many as possible. JP7 12,266 66,242 Greg Abbott in 2022, he told the audience in his concession speech that this may be one of the last times I get to talk in front of you all.. What has Tony Thurmond done as California schools chief? Not exactly rocket science, but the data is as clear as it could be. HD145 12,368 32,031 1,449 CD07 40.61% 59.36% 0.02% Hey, I knew what I was getting into when I started blogging. HD140 5,859 12,433 613 3 CD07 53,108 77,625 29 .leg-hnt-section-title { $('.showResponses').hide(); . HD134 32,915 46,611 1,330 position: relative; $('.hideResponses').on('click', () => { And the fact that the furniture dealer is openly looking for any such example, especially those that include people who did actually vote, shows just how desperate and ridiculous and baseless these Republican charges have been all along.). To make its case, Mealers legal team will have to find evidence that more than 18,000 voters were unable to cast ballots on Election Day, and that all of those voters planned to vote for Mealer, Stein said. JP5 50.61% 47.07% 2.32% JP5 50.37% 47.67% 1.96% 0.00% HD145 13,820 30,044 1,276 3 This story came out the same day that a Senate committee approved a bill making illegal voting a felony with even harsher punishments and lower standards for illegality than before. .votebox-scroll-container { Some candidates who took part in the GOP sessions said theyve taken part in training by other groups as well. I obviously wouldnt expect the Secretary of State to crack down on, say, Bell County as theyre slavering to do to Harris, but it could be that the first example to be made is in a red place. 8 Cause No. He has spoken with plenty of those disenfranchised voters himself, he said. HD134 42.55% 57.45% How awful it was for democracy that these swarms of Democratic voters were mindlessly hitting one button and putting all these non-judges onto our benches. color: white; HD139 11,438 31,372 1,145 .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { As you know, the Harris County Democratic Party will soon have a new Chair. HD149 12,101 18,269 925 429 HD143 8,538 14,611 1,218 There are multiple precincts that are partially in Houston and partially not in Houston. 'Im tired of being quiet!'
} Ive speculated about potential future candidacies for people myself, its a fun and mostly harmless activity. HD144 46.51% 53.45% 0.03% margin-right: 10px;
I think this is a demonstration that when the people will it, it will happen.. HD145 14,410 29,702 overflow-y: hidden; Contact our sales team. .votebox_bp_logo { } The incumbent candidate is Adrian Garcia, who faces two challengers in the . Second, these bills I assume theyre identical in each chamber are just a mess. "We saw big races lost this cycle because of Republicans refusing to support other Republicans and unless we fix this in our party, unless we start coming . HD137 8,600 12,670 9 For example, an advocacy groups scorecard may assess a legislators voting record on one issue while a state newspapers scorecard may evaluate the voting record in its entirety. } Judge Sepolio is represented by John Raley. But really, a good horse laugh is all you need. Statewide officials. Before I begin, please note that all of this involves a lot of back-of-the-envelope math and more than a few assumptions made along the way. .leg-hnt-toggle-text { HD134 35,653 45,142 16 HD144 47.22% 52.78% HD127 40,131 24,789 1,092 0 Theres more, but I dont have the mental energy to continue, so go read the rest for yourself. HD131 18.64% 79.15% 2.21% Patrick McGuinness and Caroline Harris advanced to a runoff. by Sameea Kamal August 17, 2022. Harris County Republican Party | 8588 Katy Freeway, Suite 445 Houston, TX 77024 | (713) 838-7900 HD126 35,244 23,460 1,482 HD141 17.53% 79.15% 3.32% There wont be any citywide propositions in 2024, not if we have them this coming November, but Ill try to use the precinct data I have here to analyze that election. Ill get into it a bit more in the next post when we look at the higher-scoring Republicans, but my sense is that these three Dems, plus Beto, received some crossovers. The thing that strikes me about Allred is that hes in a similar situation that his colleague Rep. Joaquin Castro was in 2017 and being talked about a run against Cruz in that cycle. Of course, we were in a time and of a political makeup in which Dems were getting creamed in non-Presidential years. So I have been at the tip of the spear when it comes to getting conservative legislation passed in Texas and know what it takes to hit the ground running on day one and be successful. Ill say this: At least in 2017/2018, you could say that Julian Castro was really running for President in 2020, and as such it made no sense for him to campaign for something else in the meantime. CC3 61.33% 36.59% 2.08% This was an interesting year for multiple reasons the first non-Presidential election since the huge shift towards Democrats in 2018, the first time these judicial incumbents were running for re-election, tons of money being spent by Republicans and their backers to smear Criminal Court judges, the high-profile County Judge race that was closely tied to that same campaign spending, the first non-Presidential year with no straight-ticket voting, coming in a year with the extra-long ballot and so on. I will never not be mad about all of the lazy, uninformed, and frankly kind of racist assumptions that went into that hypothesis. $('.collapse').collapse('hide'); Updated: 10:41 PM CST January 11, 2022. HD148 16,238 20,657 JP1 30.69% 66.39% 2.92% A William Wagner, about whom I could find nothing, filed the same for Constable in Precinct 7. A second resolution passed in November 2021 backed the districts ethnic studies curriculum and criticized the effort to mislead parents into confusing critical race theory with ethnic studies. Its certainly possible that these laws arent as good at actually suppressing the vote as theyre intended to, but thats beside the point. } else { He was the author of recent conservative victories like the Texas Heartbeat Act, Election Integrity Reform, and the legislation to ban Critical Race Theory in our schools. HD140 5,929 12,518 Phony Defunding Claims II: Electric Boogaloo, AG argues for separating that San Antonio criminal justice reform proposition into multiple questions, November 2022 election, adding to an array of GOP litigation. Some elections are non-partisan (ie, local city council and ISD races). .inner_percentage.Republican { HD146 9,975 31,981 11 z-index:1; font-size: 12px; A lot of them just went to another polling place. He may or may not seek to run for something else do remember that the minute he says something to that effect hell have to resign, so all we would have before then is speculation but either way I wont be surprised to see some competition for the Precinct 1 slot. The only logical conclusion is that across the board, some number of people who votes for Beto and Collier and Garza and Hays also voted for Glenn Hegar and Dawn Buckingham and Wayne Christian. "We have to come together as a party." McDaniel said, pointing at the GOP's underperformance in the 2022 midterm elections. HD133 61.63% 38.37% HD130 46,145 18,886 963 5 If not, Ill be disappointed but not surprised. height: 50px; This makes sense to me, but as it agrees with my priors, Id like to check it. Phelan was one of the few lawmakers to address the Uvalde shooting when the legislative session began Tuesday, promising sensible, meaningful change. Republican leaders have focused on bolstering mental health resources and improving the physical defenses of schools both of which have bipartisan support as the session starts. On Wednesday, each of the chambers 31 lawmakers walked to the front of the chamber and drew lots by picking an envelope that held a pill-shaped capsule. HD134 31,677 46,420 1,533 844 } He suggesting the court has long favored stopping such charter amendments before theyre voted on, something thats still possible if it can prevent San Antonio from including it on the ballot this week. Clerk Burgess is represented by Neal Manne. Activists in Harker Heights, which is also in Bell County, are planning to force another vote on the issue, though that may wind up being moot, depending on how this goes. .electionsectionheading { } HD128 31,548 13,748 1,148 This week, Speaker of the Texas House Dade Phelan dismissed the election contest filed by Mike May, the candidate who lost to Representative Jon Rosenthal in the 2022 election for house district 135. HD139 30.91% 69.06% 0.03% HD149 38.56% 58.67% 2.77% But plenty of others are considering a Cruz challenge. For the latter at least, weve had a strong response from the County Attorney, but we cant assume that will always be the case. }) HD149 39.42% 60.58% margin-top: 16px; A person close to former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julin Castro said that he is weighing a run. Though they may put certain guidelines in place, these facilities would not be allowed to prohibit residents from visiting with their designated caregivers. CC2 47.94% 52.06% State and local courts | HD126 38,281 21,401 17 The initiative follows the Gallery Furniture ownerslawsuit filed last weekaccusing the Harris County Elections Administrators Office of refusing to turn over public records related to the election. .widget-row.Libertarian { column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; The PDO doesnt have to handle every indigent case Im sure there will the need for specialized services going forward. Some Texas voting rights groups worry the Legislature will use the problems in Harris and those lawsuits as an excuse to advance bills such as these. HD130 44,307 20,934 1,434 HD130 69.15% 27.87% 2.07% 0.90% JP2 40.63% 56.87% 2.50% It would seem campaigns are in the trenches looking for every possible way to unseat incumbents or prevent challenges to incumbents, Bob Stein said. Its also why there was such fierce opposition to the creation of such an office in Harris County even though most other large counties in Texas had them. Click here to read the survey answers. HD140 6,042 12,353 HD137 38.73% 58.25% 3.03% I commend Rep. Jetton for his interest in reducing the number of mail ballot rejections, though I have a hard time believing anyone can get such a bill through the Lege. Ann Harris Bennett, Tax Assessor, Alan Rosen, Constable Precinct 1 HD127 62.90% 37.09% 0.01% HD140 30.50% 66.12% 3.37% font-size: .9em; SD13 21.23% 78.74% 0.04% I consider what Harker Heights City Council did to be defensible, but I would not feel the same way if this effort succeeds and they override it again. If the margin is 60-40, the net gain is about 500 votes. } HD144 43.70% 53.07% 3.23% It would be better if they didnt feel the need to try, as theres a perfectly good alternative already in place. HD149 38.14% 57.59% 2.92% 1.35% Brown. JP8 48,118 27,102 2,000 871 I didnt look closely at new Commissioner Briones report, but Id bet a nice lunch that a substantial chunk of her cash arrived after the election. Hegar 185,671 324,329 37.58% 54.52% This isnt a lobbying or legislating matter, its a political and electoral one. Luis Echegaray advanced from the Democratic primary for Texas House of Representatives District 52 on March 1, 2022. HD139 12,722 30,247 HD147 9,910 35,410 Please contact CalMatters with any commentary questions: commentary@calmatters.org. Currently, Paxton can only get involved if invited by a district or county attorney, according to the courts ruling. HD132 56.37% 41.11% 2.52% County Judge David Blackburn joined the meeting remotely, and Schumann chaired the meeting. HD148 16,397 19,705 Garcia, A 175,027 340,089 0 291,697 CC1 28.29% 71.71% I was worried that if Hidalgo lost, there was a real chance Dems could lose not one but both of the Commissioners Court races as well. How to vote | padding-bottom: 0px; JP6 24.96% 75.04% HD130 46,489 18,687 .clearfix { text-align: center; Maybe they just didnt know enough about the Dems in these races to be in a position to consider them. I dont know how this will play out in the courts Im not optimistic for the Ground Game Texas folks, Ill say that much but even a favorable ruling may not help, as I would expect the Lege to weigh in as well, on the side of the opponents. Houston furniture magnate Jim Mattress Mack McIngvalehas filed a lawsuit against the Harris County Elections Administrators office accusing it of refusing to turn over public records related to theNovember 2022 election, adding to an array of GOP litigationaimed at the countys elections process. ==================================== What you saw (on Thursday) was really the beginning of getting this particular question before a court: What is the effect of a local municipal ordinance when it comes into conflict with state law?. I just feel like were in new territory, said Kim Rubio, who lost her 10-year-old daughter, Lexi, at Robb Elementary School. Patrick 171,319 312,803 34.40% 51.84% HD126 60.98% 35.61% 2.33% 1.09% HD131 20.01% 79.99% } After 10 people spoke and each commissioner offered their opinions on Proposition A, they voted 5-0 on an authorization to litigate.. ====================== The move prompteda complaint to the State Bar accusing Paxton of professional misconductfor attempting to interfere in a pending case before the court. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well. .race_header.democratic { A scorecard evaluates a legislators voting record. Not be enforceable, he said % Because scorecards have varying purposes and methodologies, each report should be on. 70 % of the few lawmakers to address the Uvalde shooting when the legislative session began Tuesday, promising,. 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